India Festive Report – 2026 Edition

India Festive Report - 2026 Edition
01 KEY findings
23%
rebound in Shopping’s iOS remarketing in the week after Diwali
Shopping demand had already peaked before Diwali, and installs and remarketing bounced back within days of the festival ending.
102%
rise in Finance’s Android remarketing spend during Diwali week
Spend kept climbing the week after, too, up another 97%, as the vertical continues building on post-Diwali momentum
47%
rise in Entertainment’s iOS UA spend the week after Diwali
UA spend dropped 31% during Diwali week, and this rise reflects it regaining that ground.

17% share of Shopping’s entire season revenue captured in Navratri week alone, on Android

Diwali week, by contrast, ranked among the season’s lowest, confirming Navratri as Shopping’s real revenue peak this season.

30% of Food & Drink’s iOS installers made a purchase within 30 days in October

The highest conversion rate of any vertical this season, aligned with a documented rise in Indian food delivery volumes around Diwali.

26% peak fraud rate for Travel this season

Fraud risk varies far more by vertical than by platform. Gaming’s Android rate stays at 1-3% all season, the lowest of any vertical, while Travel and Finance run higher throughout the season, not just around Diwali.
02 introduction

India’s Festive Season Unfolds in Phases, Not One Peak

Diwali remains the moment India’s festive season is built around, but consumer and marketer attention doesn’t arrive and depart on a single day. Shopping’s peak lands during Navratri, well before Diwali itself. Finance’s peak lands the week after Diwali, tied to Chhath Puja. Entertainment’s biggest single-week swing has nothing to do with either. It’s tied to the opening matches of the Asia Cup cricket tournament in early September. Each vertical moves on its own calendar, not a shared one built around a single day.

That spread gave the season real room to build momentum. Real GDP grew 8.2% in the July-September quarter of FY2025-26, and digital payments kept pace. The average daily UPI transaction value crossed $10.35 billion in August 2025 alone, well ahead of Diwali itself.

That momentum showed up in festive shopping too. E-commerce order volumes grew 24% year-over-year during the festive window, with gross merchandise value up 23% and quick commerce order volume up 120%. A report found that 93% of Indian consumers shopped online this festive season, and Tier 2 and 3 cities accounted for roughly 55% of festive orders, spread across the country rather than concentrated in major metros.

This report analyzes seven verticals: Gaming, Finance, Shopping, Entertainment, Food & Drink, Travel, and Utility & Productivity. It analyzes how installs, monetization, retention, ad spend, and fraud changed over an 11-week period from August 18 through October 27, 2025. The report examines how the festive season impacts each vertical, pinpointing where the biggest opportunities and risks lie outside Diwali week itself.

Methodology:
– Timeframe: August 18 through October 27, 2025
– App criteria: Android and iOS apps across seven categories: Gaming, Finance, Shopping, Entertainment, Food & Drink, Travel, and Utility & Productivity
– Metrics analyzed: Installs, remarketing conversions, IAP revenue, share of paying users, UA and remarketing ad spend, fraud rate and type, and Day 1/3/7/14/30 retention

Data sample *
2.1B
installs analyzed by AppsFlyer
5B
remarketing conversions analyzed
$700M
total ad spend analyzed (UA + remarketing)

* All results are based on fully anonymous and aggregated data. To ensure statistical validity, we follow strict volume thresholds and methodologies and only present data when these conditions are met.

03 Key trends

Overall installs

Organic installs

Non-organic Installs


Organic vs. non-organic installs trend per platform

Share of installs by platform


Remarketing conversions


UA ad spend

Remarketing ad spend


IAP Revenue share per platform


Average Retention Rate per Vertical


Install-to-purchase conversion rate (30-day)


Install fraud rate

Fraud type breakdown by platform

06 key takeaways
Skip numbered cards section
Explore shifting the budget toward Navratri
Explore shifting the budget toward Navratri

Shopping and Travel's highest-converting cohorts arrived during Navratri, not Diwali. Test shifting UA and remarketing budget into that window for these two verticals ahead of the festival's traditional peak.

Look past the festival day for the real opportunity
Look past the festival day for the real opportunity

Some of the strongest windows in this data sit outside the festival day itself. Finance's revenue, remarketing spend, and retention all peaked in the days after Diwali, tied to Chhath Puja. Consider whether other verticals have a similar post-peak window worth planning around.

Match spend timing to each vertical's real pattern
Match spend timing to each vertical's real pattern

Ad spend moves differently across verticals during the festive window. Some dip and recover, some build steadily, some peak right at Diwali and fade. Review whether spend timing aligns with each vertical's shape.

Align fraud verification to where risk actually concentrates
Align fraud verification to where risk actually concentrates

Fraud risk varies far more by vertical than by platform. Gaming stays consistently low throughout the season, while Travel and Finance carry elevated rates, not just around Diwali. Evaluate whether verification resources are matched to where risk actually concentrates, not treated as a single blanket policy

Weigh conversion strength alongside install volume
Weigh conversion strength alongside install volume

Food & Drink converted installers reliably regardless of when they arrived, while Shopping and Travel's September cohorts outperformed October's. Worth factoring a vertical's conversion rate into budget decisions, not just its raw install numbers.

Ready to start making good data driven choices?